If I was Theresa May ….

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Some weeks ago Anthony Sargeant said that, “if I were Theresa May I would have a general election now” – prescient or just logical?

Now once again let me say that …. “If I was Theresa May …”.    I would include in the Tory manifesto a cast-iron promise to hold a Scottish Referendum on some specified date – possibly in 2018 or 2019.

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If I were Theresa May ……

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In the light of the European Parliament and the increasing belligerent and bullying approach of the EU politburo and their confederates it seems that any ‘negotiation’ with the EU will be prolonged and futile.

Thus Anthony Sargeant reflects that ….. if I were Theresa May ….. I would have the courage to call an early general election with a manifesto pledge to leave the EU with immediate effect. I have no doubt that she would achieve an impressive victory, if only because British people do not take kindly to bullying and threats.

The consequence of immediate withdrawal would probably be very positive for the UK given the precarious position of the EU and Euro economies (Greece is yet again on the brink – desperately trying to find an agreement with its creditors – aka the European Central Bank – aka Germany) – but Portugal, Italy, Spain and others are not much better off – even if hidden from view. In many EU countries there is massive youth unemployment rising above 30%.

On leaving the EU the UK  can immediately open negotiations with the rest of world on such free trade deals as seem beneficial (even, dare one say, deals with the EU – which as a net exporter to the UK might quickly think this is a good idea). In the meantime WTO rules and their tariffs are not as significant to exporters as fluctuations in exchange rates as James Dyson has pointed out.

But trade is not the real point – the real point is British Sovereignty. That is having control of our own destiny. As Karl Popper famously observed, the point of western democracy is not that you necessarily get the government that you want, doing what you want, but that at the next election you can get rid of them – unfortunately this is not true of the un-elected EU politburo in Brussels.

Who, for example, voted for Jean-Claude Juncker as head of the European Commission? A former Luxembourg Prime Minister who in that role and in a little known secretive EU committee vetoed any attempt to limit cross-border tax avoidance. Then you might ask why are Amazon and other multi-national companies located in the tiny principality of Luxembourg? to the benefit of guess who? Jean-Claude Juncker and Luxembourg (which has the second highest GDP per capita in the world after that other well known democracy Abu Dhabi). A position that at the very least might be considered hypocritical and at another level verging on corrupt.

But anyway and in addition to controlling our own destiny the UK would no longer be a cash cow sending money to Brussels to support a political project which is out of date and frankly, after 60 years, out of time. A political project which is now, in all but name, a German controlled European Superstate – the Holy Roman Empire revisited (which was the 1st Reich for those who know the numbering system of the 3rd Reich – NB the Weimar Republic was classified as an ‘interim Reich’ so it did not count).

And then finally Scotland –  …… if I were Theresa May ….. I would also put into the manifesto a pledge to have an immediate referendum on Independence. It would be the honourable thing to do.

A referendum would give the Scottish people a chance to review the situation and make their own decision about the future. One understands the emotional and sentimental appeal of Independence for a proud nation. A nation which it could be argued has made a disproportionately large contribution to the historic Union. Without Scottish engineers, philosophers, artists, writers and others the United Kingdom would have been a much poorer nation.

In addition there has been the contribution of Scotland to the UK military over many years and many wars. In my lifetime the ‘United Kingdom’ stood alone and thereby rescued Europe from German tyranny and genocide, but only after massive sacrifice of UK military and the civilian populations  (including my maternal grandparents killed in the London Blitz). Who can forget the Scottish piper at El Alamein, or on the beach on D-Day?

So, ……if I were Theresa May ….. ,  I would commit to a very early referendum on Independence for the Scottish people. They deserve no less. If they choose to leave the historic Union and become an independent country one would wish them all speed and so very many thanks for their massive contribution to the United Kingdom over many years of the Union. Of course, and in passing, one would hope that they would not then vote to lose the independence they chose by becoming a minor province of a dysfunctional European Superstate controlled by Berlin through Brussels – a 4th Reich in all but name.

UK and EU and Brexit – EU Negotiator Verhofstadt likens it to rats leaving a sinking ship

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In response to the Ex-Prime Minister of Belgian and now EU Parliament negotiator for Brexit talks, Guy Verhofstadt, likening the UK leaving the EU to “rats leaving a sinking ship”. Anthony Sargeant says that there are two interesting points about the comment; (1) the Belgian Europhile seems to think the EU is sinking (which it probably is) and (2) rats are an extremely successful species which thrives around the world (which may well turn out to be how the UK fares in terms of global trade post-Brexit). But as a Belgian you can imagine the dismay at the very thought of the collapse of the EU infrastructure and consequent redundancy of all of those vanity-project buildings in Brussels – what will Belgium do with them? And what will it do as an economy no longer propped up by the income generated by over 50,000 well paid EU civil servants in Brussels, plus ancillary staff. If you think that closure of the Port Talbot Steelworks would be bad for Wales then the collapse of EU would be a disaster for Belgium which is economically challenged, not least by the internal schisms of its society on language and religious grounds (this leads to duplication not just of language in government documentation but also of whole institutions. So in Brussels for example, you have the Universite Libre of Brussels but also the Vrije Universiteit of Brussels and so on down the educational system in towns and Villages across the country.

‘Here-today and gone-tomorrow politicians’: The EU, Brexit and Francois Hollande

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“Here-today and gone-tomorrow politician” is a jibe levelled by Sir Robin Day on a BBC television interview with Sir John Nott in 1982. But it is as relevant today with respect to any number of European Politicians. As a letter to the Daily Telegraph makes clear when commenting on the posture of the President of France (at least till the next election) Francois Hollande in respect of Brexit.

Hollande is quoted as saying that Britain “will have to pay a heavy economic price” for leaving the EU. The letter writer, M. Wood-Wilson, points out that this shows breathtaking arrogance. He goes on to point out that:

“France has a youth unemployment rate of 39%; Italy 43%; and Greece 50%” (he does not even mention Spain or Portugal). “France and Italy have immense government debts of €2 trillion each, which they cannot repay unless their economies grow significantly, which is unlikely while they remain in the eurozone. The EU needs all the trade it can get. We buy more from the EU than it does from us. For EU politicians to ride roughshod over their electorates and punish Britain in order to hold their failing integrationist project together is to vindicate Britain’s decision to leave”

The “here-today and gone-tomorrow politicians” jibe applies equally to Angela Merkel, Alexis Tsipras, Matteo Renzi, etc etc. All of whom will very soon be voted out of power by their respective electorates.

The problem is that the EU project has grown ‘like topsy’ from an economic community into a monster of a political project which is anti-democratic and dysfunctional and can only work by enforced integration into what has become ‘Fortress Europe’. The only Federation of states that faced a slightly similar challenge and still survives is the USA  – but that only happened after a bloody civil war. But the major difference is that in Europe the Nation States have long and distinct histories and cultures.

How long before the youth of Greece, Italy, Portugal and Spain rise up against the austerity imposed upon them by the EU politburo and the vested interests of the Northern Nation States?

Brexit ‘A damn close run thing’ – comment by AnthonyJ Sargeant

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The British defeated the creation of a European Superstate at the Battle of Waterloo in 1815 and The Duke of Wellington’s comment on being asked about it has usually been paraphrased as ‘a damn close run thing’, as indeed it was. Napoleon was defeated in 1815 just as have been so very many other proponents of a European Empire or Superstate ever since the Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire.

In the Second War, The Battle of Britain is often seen as a important turning point: that was also ‘a damn close run thing’,  but, with a little luck, the British succeeded in surviving the onslaught of Nazi Germany as it stood alone.

And now once again we face an important moment in European history. The British will vote in a referendum on whether to continue to prop up the undemocratic and dysfunctional European political project which aspires to create yet another European Superstate, or have the courage to leave it and in so doing create a better more humane world that is not some Orwellian dystopia in which the ‘Proles’ are controlled by a privileged elite.

It is a leap in the dark – but better surely to take that leap and live with courage, conviction and truth and not submit to tyranny.

Anthony J Sargeant says that this should be read and considered by all those with a vote in the UK referendum

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http://con4lib.com/the-eu-is-keeping-africa-poor/

Anthony J Sargeant says that this should be read and considered by all those with a vote in the UK referendum on whether to leave or remain in a EU political project that does this to the developing world

Anthony J Sargeant asks,”Why do decent people want to remain in the EU?”

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I am genuinely puzzled. I have friends who are intelligent, kind, caring and liberal minded and despite that some of them are certainly going to vote to ‘remain’ in the EU referendum. I cannot understand why they would want to remain in a European Union which is so dysfunctional and undemocratic. Of course some people who vote will do so out of fear about the economy and their jobs or because they think their summer holidays will be more expensive if we leave. But my liberal-minded friends seem to be doing so in the idealistic hope that we can work together with other European countries to form a new Utopian European Superstate. That commendable ideal seems on all of the available evidence to be the triumph of hope over experience, history, and the reality of our single vote out of the present 28 member states especially given the political, social and economic status of the many of the other 27. It is certainly the case that many other countries in the EU are either corrupt, feckless, misogynistic, racist, nationalistic, homophobic, neo-fascist and sometimes a combination of two or more of the above. It would be invidious to name individual countries because there are so many. These countries are hardly the sort of bed-fellows that my liberal minded friends would normally choose to sleep with. Yet they are prepared so to do in  a paroxysm of optimism, rather like the bride who thinks that the brutal boy-friend will change once they are married – only to end up in the refuge years later. Experience, history, and harsh reality does eventually triumph over unjustifiable hope but often it takes serious injury before a resolution is finally reached.